NDP & BQ up; LPC and CPC tied

The Liberals (32%) and Conservatives (32%) are tied nationally followed by the NDP at 18%, the Greens at 9%, and the BQ at 6% (25% in Quebec) while Maxime Bernier’s People’s Party registers just 2% support nationally, shows an Abacus Data survey of 3,000 Canadians.

All interviews were done after the English language debate and before the French-language debate Thursday evening.

There is clear evidence of improvement for the NDP and the BQ.

In BC, Abacus Data sees a three-way tie with the Liberals and Conservatives at 29% and the NDP at 26%. In Ontario, the Liberals have opened up a 5-point lead over the Conservatives (37% to 32%) with the NDP at 19%. In Quebec, a 21-point lead for the Liberals last week has been reduced to 12-points as the BQ is up 6 to 25%. The Liberals lead by 10 in Atlantic Canada.

NDP support is strongest among those aged 18 to 29 at 26% and drops to 12% among those aged 60 and over. Liberal support is consistent across age groups, while the Conservatives are stronger among older voters and weaker among younger ones.

The biggest shift comes in feelings towards NDP leader Jagmeet Singh. Since Oct 5, positive impressions of Singh are up 9-points to 41%, the highest Abacus Data has ever tracked for the NDP leader. His negatives are also down 3-points to 22%.

Singh’s image has improved across the political spectrum, as well. He was already well regarded among those on the left (61% positive last week, 62% this week), but he improved 14 points among centre-left voters, 9 points among centre voters, and even 9 points among voters on the right.

Andrew Scheer has 30% positive and 47% negative opinion nationally this week.  Negative feelings towards the Conservative leader have risen 9-points since the start of the campaign. Trudeau has 33% positive and 49% negative opinion across the country. Elizabeth May has 26% positive and 22% negative opinion.